Predicting New Hampshire seems like it should be a lot easier than trying to predict Iowa. In New Hampshire people just vote and that’s it. Primaries rule.
The polling has been pretty consistent for the last week so I don’t think I’m going out on a limb to predict that the top five will be, in this order:
Biden at least has a chance to rebound in South Carolina, assuming he can stop saying weird stuff at every campaign stop. But I think this is pretty much it for Warren. If she can’t do better than fourth in New Hampshire, it’s hard to imagine her making a Super Tuesday comeback.
This will also probably be the high point for Klobuchar, who, for the most part, is benefiting from Bloomberg skipping New Hampshire.