Today is the California recall election!
I’ve been pretty up front about how much I dislike Gavin Newsom and I do think that it would enjoyable to watch the media freak-out if he was replaced by Larry Elder.
But, to be honest, I expect Newsom will survive. Hopefully, the polls will be slightly off and the vote will be narrow enough that it will end any speculation about Newsom as a presidential candidate but, given that he’s a Democrat, I doubt we’ll see too many negative takes on him regardless of how the vote goes.
Times have changed since Gray Davis has recalled in 2003. As much as I dislike him, Gavin Newsom is a better politician than Davis. And Larry Elder is not as strong a campaigner as Arnold Schwarzenegger. If the recall fails, Elder will probably get much of the blame. That’s not quite fair, of course. But that’s how politics goes and the media will be more than happy to play their part. There’s nothing scarier to those people than the thought of a black Republican winning a high-profile election.
If Newsom’s recalled, expect to see the story played down.
If Newson survives, expect at least a week of “The Democrats are back, baby” cheering.
Mostly, just get out there and vote!
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