A Good Night For The UK, A Great Day For Me

I’ve been in London, visiting family and friends, since Monday.  When I first got here, it seemed like there was a feeling of doom over the entire city.  My family was worried that, despite polls showing a slim (if tightening) Conservative lead, Corbyn would somehow end up as PM.  Meanwhile, the Corbynistas, of which there are many in London, seemed to be increasingly convinced that, even if Corbyn didn’t score an outright victory, a hung parliament would force Johnson out of power.

Well, it turns out that, as usual, the rumors of Boris Johnson’s demise were greatly exaggerated.  Last night, the Tories not only won the election but they did so in such decisive fashion that the election results can only be interpreted as a rejection of Jeremy Cobyn and the anti-Semites that he has allowed to surround him.  The Conservaties now have 364 seats.  Labour has only 203, which is actually an improvement on the exit poll were predicted that Labour would end up with only 191.  The SNP wiped Labour out in Scotland.

I was up until five in the morning, watching the results.  I didn’t go to sleep until the Tories had their majority.  When I went to sleep, I was feeling very good.  This afternoon, walking around London and seeing dejected and miserable Corbyn supporters bemoaning the loss of the election, I felt great.  Boris Johnson may or may not be a good PM.  I have my doubts about him but he’s not Jeremy Corbyn and for that reason, I am thankful for his victory.

I’ll be returning home to America tomorrow.  I wonder if the Democrats will learn any lessons from Corbyn’s collapse.  I doubt it.

I’m not watching.

I’m not watching the Democratic Debate right now.

Perhaps I should be, considering how much I go on about politics on this site.  But I just can’t summon up any enthusiasm for spending two hours watching those ten clowns answer softball questions from MSNBC.  Anything important that’s said will be available on either YouTube or Twitter, mere seconds after it’s said.  Despite the best efforts of the media to convince us otherwise, it’s been a while since a debate has really been a must-see event.

Unless, of course, it’s last Tuesday’s debate between Boris Johnson and Jeremy Corbyn.  I’ve both watched and rewatched that, quite a few times.  Each time I do, I’m struck by two things.  Number one, Boris Johnson has his weaknesses.  Number two, Jeremy Corbyn is uniquely incapable of taking advantage of them.  Despite his weaknesses, I have no doubt that Johnson will still be PM after December’s election.  Boris Johnson may be an erratic blowhard but at least he’s not Jeremy Corbyn.

As for the Democrats, the expectation tonight seems to be that Pete Buttigieg will be everyone’s number one target because Mayor Pete has surged in recent polls.  I don’t think Mayor Pete is going to be the Democratic nominee but I do think his success is going to keep Biden, Warren, and Sanders from sealing the deal.  To be honest, I don’t think any of the current front runners is going to win the nomination.  Despite the fact that she’s not getting much attention right now, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Amy Klobuchar accepting the Democratic nomination next July.

Smart Politics In The UK

From Sky News:

General election: Boris Johnson welcomes Nigel Farage’s decision not to stand in seats won by Tories in 2017

Tl;dr version: Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party will not be running candidates for any of the seats that were previously won by the Tories in 2017.  Instead, the party will focus on contesting seats held by Labour and the Lib Dems.  Now, if Johnson is smart, he will have the Conservative candidates stand down in any seat where it appears that the Brexit Party has the better chance to win.

This is good news for everyone who has been worried that the Tories and the Brexit Party would split their votes and the end result would be Prime Minister Jeremy Corbyn.

Corbyn, who is nothing if not predictable, has labeled this the “Trump Coalition.”

Actually, it’s just smart politics.

 

Prime Minister Bercow?

Is it possible that all of this Brexit chaos was a part of an elaborate plot to put John Bercow in Number 10?

I don’t really believe that, of course.  Still, old Francis Urquhart immediately came to mind as soon as I heard that some MPs were talking about forcing Boris out and replacing him with the Speaker.

It’s interesting to watch.  It’s obvious that many MPs are not confident in Boris Johnson or his ability to steer the UK through Brexit.  Probably the only thing keeping Johnson in power is the threat of Jeremy Corbyn becoming PM.  Meanwhile, Labour is trying everything to make Corbyn PM, short of winning an election.  At a time when the Tories are in disarray, Labour is being led by the one man that most voters never want to see become Prime Minister.

And, all the while, the October 31st deadline grows closer and closer.

 

Brexit someday

Boris Johnson proposes to leave Northern Ireland in special relationship with EU until 2025

Boris Johnson’s latest Brexit plan seems to deal with what has been a major sticking point, what to do about Northern Ireland.  In fact, Johnson’s plan sounds a lot like what the EU itself proposed a few years ago.

Of course, the main problem with this deal (beyond getting Ireland to sign off on it) is that it doesn’t actually solve the problem.  It just puts things off for another six years, at which point it will probably become someone else’s problem.

Putting things off until they become someone else’s problem seems to be the only consistent strategy that anyone has for Brexit.

 

 

Boris Smash

I know many people are trashing Boris for saying this but this is actually pretty cool and it’s going to speak to more people than the Remainers and anti-No Dealers realize.  We may be on the verge of the end of everything but at least we’re going out like a big, green rage monster.  The Hulk may smash everything doing it but somehow, he always saves the day.

I’m not saying it’s a good thing, mind you.  I’m just saying never underestimate the popularity of the Hulk.

There Goes Boris’s Majority

While this is being portrayed by many as being an embarrassing moment for Boris Johnson, it’s actually probably just what he wants.  Despite only having a one-seat majority, Boris previously threatened to purge any Conservative MPs who failed to support his plans to leave the EU in October.  That may have been bluster on Boris’s part but it might also indicate that he wasn’t that worried about losing his fragile working majority.  (Though I doubt he necessarily wanted it to happen during his first speech as PM.)

Boris Johnson will probably get his general election now.  A general election can always be a risky proposition (just ask Theresa May) but Tories do currently have one big advantage: the opposition is being led by Jeremy Corbyn.