Colin Powell passed away on Monday. He had been ill for a while, with cancer and Parkinson’s. Unfortunately, despite being fully vaccinated, he has also contracted COVID. It’s sad to say that his death will be used as propaganda by both sides. No sooner had he died then some people were claiming his death proved the vaccine was useless while others were blaming the unvaccinated, as if Colin Powell caught COVID while shopping at Walmart. The truth is that the vaccinated can still spread COVID and breakthrough infections do happen but usually, the vaccination reduces the severity of them and makes COVID much easier to survive. Unfortunately, Powell was in his 80s and already severely ill, which put him in the number one risk group when it comes to dying from COVID.
I’ve seen a lot of debate about Powell’s legacy. I’ll leave that for others. I will say that Colin Powell is at the center of one of the most intriguing What If questions of American history. What If Colin Powell had run for President in 1996? At one point, polls should him not only winning the Republican nomination but beating Bill Clinton as well. Could he have done it? It’s an interesting question. Powell did briefly explore a run and when he revealed that he was far more moderate on certain issues than most Republicans, his numbers did slip a little. Though he was still leading most primary polls, the slippage was enough to reveal that Powell was vulnerable. I can only imagine Pat Buchanan coming after Powell in New Hampshire.
If Powell had managed to win the nomination while running as a moderate, could he have beaten Bill Clinton? Would he have maintained his polling lead or would Clinton have been able to exploit Powell’s inexperience as a candidate. Again, it’s hard to say. I think Powell would have struggled as a candidate because, like most generals, he was used to be being in charge and having his every order followed by people who could be court-martialed if they failed to do their job.. He would have had a difficult time adjusting to the world of politics. The idea of a general running for President is one of America’s greatest political clichés but only Grant, Eisenhower, and Zachary Taylor were able to jump directly from military service to the presidency. (Even George Washington served in the colonial legislature.) It’s easier to imagine Powell being a modern-day Winfield Scott, a respected general who desired the presidency but could never make the transition from leading soldiers to inspiring people to vote for him. Since Powell ultimately announced he would not run in 1996 (and I can still remember how shocked people were when he made his announcement), we’ll never know.