Despite being one of the most Democratic states in the Union, Vermont has only elected one Democrat to the U.S. Senate.
Some of that is because Vermont is one of the few states to have a strong third party tradition. Bernie Sanders may caucus with the Democrats and he may have run for the Democratic presidential nomination but he is officially an Independent.
The other reason is because Pat Leahy, the only Democrat to be elected from Vermont as of this writing, has been in the U.S. Senate since 1974. When he was first elected, Vermont was still a Republican state and Leahy’s victory was due less to him being a Democrat and more to 1974 being the first post-Watergate election. Due to being the party of Nixon, Republicans got wiped out in that election.
Leahy has held on to his seat and, though he never developed much of a national reputation, he has become an institution in Vermont. In D.C., he’s the epitome of someone who gained his power through longevity, as opposed to being beloved by his colleagues.
Earlier on Monday, Pat Leahy announced that his long Senatorial career is finally coming to an end. Leahy is retiring in 2022. Leahy is in his 80s so his retirement is not unexpected. And it’s not likely to upset the balance of the Senate. Peter Welch is Vermont’s sole Congressman and he will probably easily move up to the Senate. The real race will be for Welch’s Congressional seat, which will probably be a showdown between the moderate wing and the Sanders wing of the state party.
Vermont does have a Republican governor. Phil Scott is an anti-Trump Republican and very popular. Some are imagining Scott running for the Senate as an Independent and Scott could make a race of it. But why take the risk when he knows that he can probably serve as governor for as long as he feels like it?