Larry Elder has won the right to appear on the California recall ballot. If Gavin Newsom is recalled (and that’s a big if), Elder is currently the favorite to succeed him. That could change as the campaign progresses, of course. Elder has a following but this is also the first time he’s run for office. However, due to the way the recall is set up and the lack of a run-off for recall elections, Elder could easily win with just 10% of the vote. Recalls favor name recognition and, among Republican voters, that’s what Elder’s got.
Again, it all depends on whether or not Newsom is recalled. Right now, the polls are still in his favor but they’re tightening and there’s a lot that can happen, especially with the return of masks and crime. If you asked me right now, I was predict that Newsom’s going to survive but that could change depending on the next few weeks.