After using President Elect to see how Joe Biden, Mario Cuomo, and John Glen would have all done against Ronald Reagan in 1984, I decided to see how Gary Hart would have done. Hart nearly did defeated Walter Mondale for the nomination so it’s only natural to assume that, on election night of 1984, some Democrats were wondering if maybe they should have given the Senator from Colorado a shot.
For the purpose of this simulation, I assumed that Gary Hart, like Mondale, picked New York’s Geraldine Ferraro as his running mate.
Here are the results:
Here’s the electoral map. Remember that President Elect uses red for Democrats and blue for Republicans.
Hart still lost in a landslide but he also significantly improved on the showings of Biden, Cuomo, and Glenn. He held Reagan down to a 55% popular vote majority and, most significantly, he did what the previous three didn’t. Hart actually won a few states to go along with the District of Columbia: New York, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, and Maryland.
I guess Hart vs. Reagan would be a lot like Dewey vs. Roosevelt in 1944. The opposing party lost but it still did better than anyone expected.
Here’s the state-by-state breakdown: