I was recently reading about the 1984 presidential election, the one where Ronald Reagan destroyed Walter Mondale, when I came across the tidbit that Joe Biden briefly flirted with throwing his hat in the ring. When he realized that he wouldn’t be able to raise enough money to be competitive, he endorsed Mondale.
I decided to use the Internet Archive’s President Elect, one of the best election simulators out there, to see how Joe Biden would have done if he had run. For the purpose of this simulation, I decided that Biden followed Mondale’s lead and nominated a woman for veep. I assumed that he went for Kentucky’s then governor, Martha Layne Collins, because Collins would provide a geographic balance that the senator from Deleware would not have achieved by picking Geraldine Ferraro from neighboring New York.
After letting the simulator do its thing, here’s what we ended up with:
Basically, according to the President Elect, Biden would have done even worse than Walter Mondale. Mondale received 39% of the popular vote and carried Minnesota and the District of Columbia. Biden receives 35% of the vote and fails to carry Delaware.
Here’s the state by state breakdown:
Here’s what the electoral map would look like. Keep in mind that President Elect uses red for the Democrats and blue for the Republicans.
What does this mean?
It means that if you don’t like Biden and you find his fawning press coverage to be ludicrous, you can always find relief by humiliating him on President Elect. It also means that, despite what some of his more rabid fans insist, Donald Trump was no Ronald Reagan. There’s been a lot of talk about how humiliating it must have been for Hillary Clinton to lose to a candidate with as much personal baggage as Donald Trump. Imagine how humiliating it must also be to lose to a candidate as empty-headed as Joe Biden.